But
market fundamentalism is sometimes as counterproductive
as socialist orthodoxy is ineffective. Even an avowedly
free-market US government is now intervening decisively
to help the airline industry, which is in deep distress.
More importantly, the infrastructure sector requires highly
calibrated, situation-specific approach. Hamhanded de-regulation
of power sector in California led to grievous consequences.
Only a cash-rich State, an extremely sound economy and fortuitous
good weather helped to overcome the crisis.
Much
of the debate on privatization has been focused on central
PSUs. The minister for disinvestment Mr.Arun Shourie is
making valiant efforts to implement declared policies. But
in States there is no serious debate or effort to improve
productivity or inject competition. And where attempts are
made, they are ham-handed and counterproductive. The experience
in power and transport sectors illustrates the difficulties
in evolving and implementing rational and effective infrastructure
policies.
The
failure of power sector privatization is evident in the
plight of independent private projects (IPPs). For long,
it was known that power generation is not the problem area.
NTPC and SEBs have done an excellent job of building and
operating power stations. BHEL has been producing reliable
equipment at low cost, and even now NTPC is able to put
up power stations at around Rs.3 crore per mega watt. Vijayawada
thermal power station in AP has many records to its credit
- minimum gestation period, low cost, high plant load factor
and operational efficiency. On generation front all that
SEBs needed was capital and credit. BHEL could have been
strengthened to enhance capacity and SEBs could have been
provided equity. Much of the credit to the IPPs anyway came
only from Indian financial institutions (FIs). Instead of
building on past successes, we went in for privatization
on a cost plus basis, unthinkingly. So-called fast-track
projects have been approved hastily and scores of IPPs have
been licensed after competitive bidding. The net result
is very few projects came up; project cost is around Rs.
5 crore per mega watt or more, with impact on future tariffs;
fuel linkage has been a chronic problem; and corruption
has been institutionalized. Except in Tamil Nadu, there
has been no real progress. The nation lost valuable time,
and neither capital has been raised from abroad, nor efficiency
improved. In fact the exposure of FIs is so great in some
mega projects that there is a real risk of a few institutions
collapsing.
The
real problem in SEBs is on the distribution front. Thefts
and technical losses of 35-50% and uneconomic tariffs for
lift irrigation have been left unaddressed. Even at this
late hour, the State's response is to attempt wholesale
privatization of distribution. Again the problem is not
of technology or even credit. Plugging leakages and corruption
at local level needs efficient management below the substation
level. Decentralized distribution management and realistic
tariffs are the answer. Orissa experience of power sector
reforms showed that large distribution entities cannot be
efficiently managed by private sector in our complex political
economy. Andhra has not shown any real improvement in the
share of non-agricultural power metered and sold even after
several years of reform effort. Private management has a
role, but only if the management is transferred at the local
substation level.
The plight of RTCs reveals similar problems. RTC in AP has
been relatively well-managed for decades. But discrimination
against RTC (15% tax as opposed to 7% on private vehicles);
enormous corruption and inefficient regulation of untaxed,
illegal private operators; and transferring the burden of
populist policies (free transport to a variety of groups)
to RTC led to a crisis. Now, privatization is projected
as the panacea. But what we need is a level playing field
for RTCs along with real competition through elimination
of State monopoly. Otherwise India will go the US way in
public transport. Europe, with its efficient, reliable and
integrated public transport should be our model. There is
no efficient modern democracy without proactive role of
State in public transport.
Deng
Xiao Ping was right when he said that it did not matter
whether a cat is white or black as long as it caught mice.
There are no ready prescriptions in infrastructure management.
Strong public sector presence, no entry barriers to private
investment, and true and fair competition provide the right
balance. Our misgovernance and unthinking knee-jerk responses
have been playing havoc with our infrastructure and vital
services. Government should promote investment and competition,
but cannot, and should not, abdicate.
***